There is a possibility that a Trump presidency might prioritize a “Make America Great Again” agenda over Vice President Harris, despite her Indian heritage. Although she has recognized her roots, Harris has not actively engaged with India during her tenure. This can be attributed to her role as vice president, where alignment with the administration’s policy is paramount. Displaying too much affinity for India might expose her to accusations of divided loyalties.
Should she ascend to the presidency, Harris’s policies would likely align with American national interests as defined by her party, maintaining continuity with Biden’s administration. The Biden administration has assigned significant strategic importance to India, particularly in light of China’s rising influence. This has resulted in a hesitance to publicly critique India’s domestic political issues, including a quiet approach to allegations surrounding Indian intelligence involvement in international incidents, such as the case involving Sikh separatist Gurpatwant Singh Pannun in New York.
If elected, Harris could adopt a more nuanced approach towards India, reflecting the concerns of the party’s progressive wing regarding human rights and ethnic tensions in the country. Such a stance could create friction with Modi’s government.
Conversely, a Trump administration would likely focus solely on transactional interests, leaving human rights issues for Modi’s government to solve. The Trump administration would align closely with India’s defense and trade goals, making it easier for Indian policymakers to navigate their interests under his leadership.
Historically, Indian foreign policy has viewed Democrats as more sympathetic than Republicans. Yet, significant shifts occurred post-Cold War, with the Clinton administration imposing sanctions following India’s nuclear tests, while Bush fostered closer ties through initiatives like the US-India Civilian Nuclear Agreement.
Trump’s presidency maintained this trajectory, despite some trade tensions, by upholding previous administrations’ policies while sidestepping human rights issues. Biden, despite some calls from Congress, has similarly refrained from publicly challenging India on democratic principles.
Despite uncertainties surrounding the upcoming presidential election, the established foundation of U.S.-India relations is likely to remain robust, ensuring stability regardless of the victor.
